0330L-MONDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT- 5/19/25
“MODERATE RISK” FOR SEVERE WEATHER TODAY INTO TONIGHT. ALL HAZARDS ARE POSSIBLE. Below is a great analogy of the days events by an NWS forecaster. Numbers 2 and 3 will be of concern for us.
*Three different “regimes”/development mechanisms are expected to offer concern for severe weather by early this afternoon through evening:
#1: 2 PM – 5 PM –> east-central into southeast Oklahoma –> scattered thunderstorms along a surface convergence boundary –> very large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes.
#2: 4 PM – 10 PM –> US Highway 81 corridor and east –> scattered to numerous thunderstorms off of a dryline –> very large hail, significant damaging winds and tornadoes.
#3: 7 PM – 1 AM Tuesday –> northern Oklahoma –> a few thunderstorms behind a cold front –> damaging wind gusts and potential for hail.
*While today may feature the highest coverage of severe thunderstorms across the area, not every location will see severe weather. However, given the potential severity of outcomes (Baseball-softball size hail, 80+ mph wind gusts, and strong-EF2+ tornadoes) everyone should plan for that reality.
Overall, we’ll should be ok so here is your forecast from the NWS/NORMAN;
Today- Mostly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Some thunderstorms may be severe. Highs in the mid-80s. South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.
Tonight- Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then mostly clear after midnight. Some thunderstorms may be severe. Less humid with lows in the mid-50s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph, becoming northwest 10 to 15 mph after midnight. Chance of rain 50 percent.
Be sure to download our GARFIELD COUNTY EM app. NWS warnings and advisories come through “in detail” automatically and you’ll get important info from us too.
HAVE A GOOD DAY!
