FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
Rain is in the forecast for the weekend as stated yesterday. This said, you can read the NWS Discussion at this link AND REMEMBER that these discussions change as conditions and model runs change a few times each day-http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OUN&product=AFD&issuedby=OUN
As most of you know, there are many variables into forecasting winter weather and it’s very difficult sometimes. Many ingredients have to come together for certain events to occur. Tonight, our biggest threat will be the POSSIBILITY of frozen precipitation IF temps fall at or below freezing. If this occurs and you have to be out, BE CAREFUL DRIVING. If we stay above freezing, it will just be rain. For Christmas day, the winds will be the main issue. If winds aloft, (up in the air) mix down to the surface, we could see severe wind gusts. You need instability, speed and /or directional wind shear, and of course some sort of boundary which in this case will be a front for forcing. For the most part, we’ll see some showers and possibly a thunderstorm or so. This system is still 4 days out including today and the forecast WILL CHANGE A LITTLE. Stay up to date from the NWS/Norman and of course we’ll keep you up to date also.
Here is your forecast from the NWS/NORMAN;
Today-Increasing clouds, with a high near 44. North northwest wind 5 to 8 mph becoming light and variable.
Tonight-A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 34. Light and variable wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the evening.
HAVE A GREAT DAY!!