May 2021
THURSDAY MAY 20, 2021
0405L-THURSDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/20/21 1- GENERAL THUNDERSTORM risk today. We aren’t expecting severe weather but if in fact it does occur, quarter size hail and winds would be the main threats. Other than that, expect periods of rainfall throughout the next 7 days from 20 to 60 percent chance category. 2- With a tropical atmosphere in place, rainfall wherever it occurs may be heavy so watch for flash flooding if that occurs in [...]
WEDNESDAY MAY 19, 2021
0405L-WEDNESDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/19/21 1-We are in a MARGINAL Risk area for severe weather today. The higher risk for severe weather will be out west. Hail and wind would be the cause for severe if it occurs here. Guidance this morning is from the Storm Prediction Center (SPC), and both the NWS offices in Norman and Wichita. 2- The tropical atmosphere makes any wave that pushes through the area a potential rainmaker and [...]
TUESDAY MAY 18, 2021
0310L-TUESDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/18/21 1- GENERAL THUNDERSTORM RISK today and later tonight. At 0245 local time this morning, thunderstorms are ongoing just to our west and southwest and it appears we may see some rainfall around the area. We may see some ½ inch hail and some wind gusts upwards of 45-50 mph early this morning so be prepared for that. The tropical atmosphere will present heavy rainfall amounts as cells move over [...]
MONDAY MAY 17, 2021
0400L-MONDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/17/21 1- SLIGHT RISK for severe weather later this evening. This said, we have been fairly lucky so far as to not have any severe weather. The way the pattern looks, which by the way is very sporadic, we could stay in that middle area where storms will go south of us but we may see some shower activity as storms move across Kansas. 2- As you go south, there [...]
SUNDAY MAY 16, 2021
0405L-SUNDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/16/21 1- We are in a MARGINAL RISK area again for possibly severe weather later today. IF STORMS OCCUR, see graphic 1 for the possible risks. Over the last several days, most storms have developed out west and have moved to our north and a few south. Will tonight be any different? I will water my yard and maybe the truck today and we’ll see what happens. 😊 2- If [...]
SATURDAY MAY 15, 2021
0410L-SATURDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/15/21 1- We are in a Marginal Risk area for severe weather later today and tonight. There is also a chance for showers and maybe a thunderstorm or two during the day. The severe threat would be for quarter to golf ball size hail and roughly 60-80 mph winds. We’ll see how this pans out. Overall, we’ll be ok so we’ll keep an eye to the sky and advise accordingly. [...]
FRIDAY MAY 14, 2021
0400L-FRIDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/14/21 1-Per the Storm Prediction Center, we are in a MARGINAL risk for severe weather late tonight into the overnight hours. If storms occur, hail and strong winds would be our main threats. I would say that the winds would be the bigger threat at this time. This may change today but we’ll keep an eye out and see what happens. 2- We will be moving into a moisture rich [...]
THURSDAY MAY 13, 2021
0350L-THURSDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/13/21 1- We are in a GENERAL Thunderstorm risk for today meaning it’s really low. We MIGHT see remnants of convection in our area late from any storms that fire up in Kansas. On Friday the severe risk will be Marginal in far NW OK and on Saturday, we’ll be in that Marginal area according to guidance. Main threats will be hail and winds if they occur. Any storms that [...]
WEDNESDAY MAY 12, 2021
0400L-WEDNESDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/12/21 1- Partly cloudy, cool but a little warmer, and light winds are on the table for today. At 0345 local time, its clear outside but clouds may push back in for awhile then clear off again later today. We’ll see what happens on this one. Overall, a nice day. 2- Thursday looks to be a nice clear and warmer day into at least half the day on Friday when [...]
TUESDAY MAY 11, 2021
0350L-TUESDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/11/21 1-Rain chances remain in the area through Wednesday with a slight break Thursday then it’s back through at least Monday. Temps will remain around 60 for highs through Wednesday then we’ll see Thursday in the 70s and then the 80s return for the weekend with those thunderstorm chances. Winds will remain out of the northeast through early Thursday then shift back southerly bringing in moisture and warmer temps. Keep [...]
MONDAY MAY 10, 2021
0420L-MONDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/10/21 1- An upper level disturbance is moving across Kansas today giving us a good chance for showers during the day. Tonight, an approaching shortwave trough will keep us in the rainfall department during the overnight hours. This will be the pattern we’ll see off and on during this week along with lower high temperatures. We should average in the low 80s right now for mid-May but we don’t control [...]
SUNDAY MAY 9, 2021
0405L-SUNDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/9/21 1- The front has pushed through the area with no rain, just a windshift and cooler air. Cooler temps will become the norm this week along with chances for rain each day or evening, for the most part. Overall, a cool week and colder nights meaning lows on the 40s, will be the norm. Temps should make it back into the 80s for highs by Friday or so. We’ll [...]
SATURDAY MAY 8, 2021
0400L-SATURDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/8/21 1- MARGINAL RISK for severe weather later this evening. Quarter size hail, 60 mph winds are the main threats. The tornado threat is very low. 2- The above said, we do have a strong capping inversion in the atmosphere that should keep any storms from happening during the day. Our chance will come as a cold front pushes into the area from Kansas sometime during the mid to late [...]
FRIDAY MAY 7, 2021
0400L-FRIDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/7/21 1-Another nice day but windy with a chance for showers early, then showers again late during the overnight hours. We expect a cold front to push in sometime Saturday evening bringing chances for thunderstorms with it. We do have a strong cap above us so rain chances could be hindered by this. Lots of variables to deal with so we’ll see what happens. 2- Keep in mind, these variables [...]
THURSDAY MAY 6, 2021
0400L-THURSDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/6/21 1- No storms today. Winds should become northerly with gusts around 15 mph while staying mostly clear. Thunderstorms come back into the forecast for a low chance Friday morning and then a higher chance for Friday night into Saturday with a slight risk. The risk level may become higher depending on model guidance. We’ll see what happens for sure as we move closer to the weekend. 2- Chances for [...]
WEDNESDAY MAY 5, 2021
0415L-WEDNESDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/5/21 1- Pretty nice day with some high clouds around. There is a very slight chance for some light rain this morning but don’t hold your breath. Overall, a nice day with light winds. 2- Between now and next Tuesday, we’ll have low chances for showers and maybe some thunderstorm activity. Chances are 20-30 % right now so we’ll just keep an eye out. Don’t cancel any plans but keep [...]
TUESDAY MAY 4, 2021
0345L-TUESDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/4/21 1- Rain during the morning hours, then clearing. Not much precipitation is expected early today but temps will be mild but winds will be gusty. Wednesday looks good then a chance for rain comes in Wednesday night. Thursday and most of Friday looks good then a chance for thunderstorms come in Friday evening through at least Monday. ☹ 2- The severe threat looks low throughout the week for us [...]
MONDAY MAY 3, 2021
0350L-MONDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/3/21 1- GENERAL RISK for thunderstorms today and later tonight. Severe weather is not expected but it can happen under general risks. The front is pushing through now so expect periods of showers and possibly a few thunderstorms through Tuesday morning. 2- Tonight we could see some heavy activity with rainfall being the main issue. If this occurs, low lying areas could become flood issues so be extremely careful while [...]
0420L-SUNDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/2/21 1-We are in a GENERAL Thunderstorm Risk area for today but with very low chances for any rainfall. Better chances will come in on Monday at 40-50 %. Until then, there will be quite a bit of humidity, wind, and partial sunshine. 2- Overall, a fairly nice day so get outside and enjoy it. Here is your forecast from the NWS/NORMAN; Sunday-Partly sunny, with a high near [...]
SATURDAY MAY 1, 2021
0420L-SATURDAY OUTLOOK FROM GARFIELD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT-5/1/21 1- Another nice day but with wind. Temps will be in the upper 70s and we may also have some wind gusts upwards of 20 mph. Overall, no rain in our forecast for today but it appears it may return for Sunday into the first half of the week. We’ll see what happens. 2-Keeping this short and sweet, here is your forecast from the NWS/NORMAN; Saturday-Partly sunny, with a [...]
